The Quantitative Ecosystem Dynamics Lab

UC Berkeley: Dept. of Environmental Science, Policy and Management

Berkeley National Lab: Climate and Ecosystem Sciences Division

Navigation




Group members in bold

Author order:
2022 on: senior author last
Pre-2022: authors listed according to their contribution (i.e the sequence-determines-credit convention as opposed to senior author last). Exceptions occur.



New Results

-
Novick K, Keenan TF, et al. [incl. 12 co-authors] (2024) Accelerating the scientific basis for nature-based climate solutions in the United States PNAS (in press)

-
Baldocchi D, Novick K, Keenan TF, Torn MS (2024) AmeriFlux: Its impact on our understanding of the ‘breathing of the biosphere’, after 25 years. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology (in press) here.

-
Luo X, Zhou H, Satriawan TW, Tian J, Zhao R, Keenan TF, Griffith DM, Sitch S, Smith NG, Still C (2024) Mapping the global distribution of C4 vegetation using observations and optimality theory. Nature Communications (in press)

-
Delwiche KB, Nelson J, Kowalska N, Moore CE, Shirkey G, Tarin T, Cleverly JR, Keenan TF (2024) Charting the future of the FLUXNET network. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (in press)

-
Green JK, Zhang Y, Luo X and Keenan TF (2024) Systematic Underestimation of Canopy Conductance Sensitivity to Drought by Earth System Models. AGU Advances, 5, e2023AV001026 here.

-
Lian X, Chen A, Peñuelas J, Keenan TF, Ryu Y, Piao S, Fang J, Yu K, Zhang Y, Gentine P (2024) Diminishing carryover benefits of earlier spring vegetation growth. Nature Ecology and Evolution 8, 218–228 here.

-
Kang Y, Gaber M, Bassiouni M, Xinchen Lu, Keenan TF (2024) CEDAR-GPP: spatiotemporally upscaled estimates of gross primary productivity incorporating CO2 fertilization. Earth System Science Data Discussions (in press) here.

-
Gaber M, Kang Y, Schurgers G, Keenan TF (2024) Using automated machine learning for the upscaling of gross primary productivity. Biogeosciences Discussions (in press) here.

- Top of page -



Highlights

-
Keenan TF, Luo X, De Kauwe M, Medlyn B, Prentice IC, Stocker B, Smith N, Terrer C, Wang H, Zhang Y, Zhou S (2023) A constraint on historic growth in global photosynthesis due to increasing CO2. Nature Climate Change, 13, 1376–1381 here.

-
Ruehr S, Keenan TF, et al. [incl. 8 co-authors] (2023) Evidence and attribution of the enhanced land carbon sink. Nature Reviews Earth and Environment, 4, 518–534 here.

-
Chen C, Riley WJ, Prentice IC, Keenan TF (2022) CO2 fertilization of terrestrial photosynthesis inferred from site to global scales. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 119, e2115627119 here.

-
Zhang Y, Keenan TF, Zhou S (2021) Exacerbated drought impacts on global ecosystems due to structural overshoot. Nature Ecology and Evolution, 5, 1490–1498 here.

-
Luo X, Keenan TF, Chen J, Croft H, Prentice IC, Smith NG, Walker AP, Wang H, Wang R, Xu C, Zhang Y (2021) Global variation in the fraction of leaf nitrogen allocated to photosynthesis. Nature Communications, 12, 4866 here.

-
Fisher J, Keenan TF, Buechner C, Shirkey G, Perez-Quezada J, Knox S, Frank J, Runkle B, Bohrer G (2021) Once upon a time, in AmeriFlux. Journal of Geophysical Research, 126, 1 here. *This is a fairytale

-
Luo X, Keenan TF (2020) Global evidence for the acclimation of ecosystem photosynthesis to light. Nature Ecology and Evolution 4, 1351–1357 here.

-
Keenan TF Migliavacca M, Papale D, Baldocchi D, Reichstein M, Torn M, Wutzler T. (2019) Widespread inhibition of daytime ecosystem respiration. Nature Ecology and Evolution, 3, 407–415

-
Smith N, Keenan TF, et al. [19 additional authors] (2019) Global photosynthetic capacity is optimized to the environment. Ecology Letters, 22, 506-517

-
Keenan TF, Williams CA. (2018) The Terrestrial Carbon Sink. Annual Review of Environment and Resources, 43, 219–243 here.

-
Keenan TF, Riley WJ. (2018) Greening of the land surface in the world’s cold regions consistent with recent warming. Nature Climate Change, 8, 825–828

-
Wang H, Prentice IC, Keenan TF, Davis TW, Wright IJ, Cornwell WK, Evans BJ, Peng C. (2017) Towards a universal model for carbon dioxide uptake by plants. Nature Plants, 3, 734–741

-
Keenan TF, Niinemets Ü. (2016) Global leaf trait estimates biased due to plasticity in the shade. Nature Plants, 3, 16201

-
Keenan TF, Prentice IC, Canadell JG, Williams CA, Wang H, Raupach M, Collatz GJ. (2016) Recent pause in the growth rate of atmospheric CO2 due to enhanced terrestrial carbon uptake. Nature Communications, 7, 13428

-
Hufkens K, Keenan TF, Flanagan LB, Scott RL, Bernacchi CJ, Joo E, Brunsell NA, Verfaillie J, Richardson AD. (2016) Productivity of North American grasslands is increased under future climate scenarios despite rising aridity. Nature Climate Change, 6, 710–714

-
Wolf S, Keenan TF, Fisher JB, Baldocchi DD, Desai AR, Richardson AD, Scott RL, Law BE, Litvak ME, Brunsell NA, Peters W, van der Laan-Luijkx IT. (2016) Warm spring reduced carbon cycle impact of the 2012 US summer drought. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 113, 5880–5885

-
Keenan TF, Davidson EA, Munger JW, Richardson AD. (2013) Rate my data: Quantifying the value of ecological data for the development of models of the terrestrial carbon cycle. Ecological Applications, 23, 273–286

-
Keenan TF, Hollinger DY, Bohrer G, Dragoni D, Munger JW, Schmid HP, Richardson AD. (2013) Increase in forest water-use efficiency as atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations rise. Nature, 499, 324–327
- Top of page -


Full List

2023

[134]
Keenan TF, Novick KA, Anderegg WR, Normile C (2023) Nature-based climate solutions: align policy with science. Nature, 624, 42 here.

[133]
Keenan TF, Luo X, De Kauwe M, Medlyn B, Prentice IC, Stocker B, Smith N, Terrer C, Wang H, Zhang Y, Zhou S (2023) A constraint on historic growth in global photosynthesis due to increasing CO2. Nature Climate Change, 13, 1376–1381 here.

[132]
Miller DL, Wolf S, Fisher JB, Zaitchik BJ, Xiao J, Keenan TF (2023) Increased photosynthesis during spring drought in energy-limited ecosystems. Nature Communications, 14, 7828 here.

[131]
Ruehr S, Keenan TF, Williams C, Zhou Y, Lu X, Bastos A, Canadell JP, Prentice IC, Sitch S, Terrer C (2023) Evidence and attribution of the enhanced land carbon sink. Nature Reviews Earth and Environment, 4, 518–534 here.

[130]
Wilcox et al. [21 co-authors incl. Keenan TF ] (2023) Accounting for herbaceous communities in process-based models will advance our understanding of “grassy” ecosystems. Global Change Biology, 29, 6453-6477 here.

[129]
Ruehr S, Girotto M, Verfaillie JG, Baldocchi D, Cabon A, Keenan TF (2023) Ecosystem groundwater use enhances carbon assimilation and tree growth in a semi-arid oak savanna. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 342, 109725 here.

[128]
Yang Y et al. [16 co-authors incl. Keenan TF] (2023) Evapotranspiration on a greening Earth. Nature Reviews Earth and Environment, 4, 626–641 here.

[127]
Sun W, Luo X, Fang Y, Shiga Y, Zhang Y, Andrews A, Fisher JB, Keenan TF, Michalak A. (2023) Biome-scale temperature sensitivity of ecosystem respiration revealed by atmospheric CO2 observations. Nature Ecology and Evolution, 7, 1199–1210 here.

[126]
Chu H, Christianson D, Cheah Y-W et al. [20 co-authors incl. Keenan TF] (2023) AmeriFlux BASE data pipeline to support network growth and data sharing. Scientific Data, 10, 614 here.

[125]
Nakagawa R, Chau M, Calzaretta J, Keenan TF, Vahabi P, Todeschini A, Bassiouni M, Kang YM (2023) Upscaling Global Hourly GPP with Temporal Fusion Transformer. arXiv, 2306.13815s here.

[124]
Pressburger P, Dorheim K, Keenan TF, McJeon H, Smith SJ, Bond-Lamberty B (2023) Quantifying Airborne Fraction Trends and the Destination of Anthropogenic CO2 by Tracking Carbon Flows in a Simple Climate Model. Environmental Research Letters, 18, 054005 here.

[123]
Li X, et al. [12 co-authors incl. Keenan TF] (2023) Global variations in critical drought thresholds that impact vegetation. National Science Review, 10, nwad049 here.

[122]
Liu Y, et al. [8 co-authors incl. Keenan TF] (2023) Global photosynthetic capacity of C3 biomes retrieved from solar-induced chlorophyll fluorescence and leaf chlorophyll content. Remote Sensing of Environment, 287, 113457 here.

[121]
Bloomfield K, Stocker B, Prentice IC, Keenan TF (2023) Environmental controls on the light use efficiency of terrestrial gross primary production Global Change Biology, 29, 1037-1053 here.

2022

[120]
Novick K, et al. [27 co-authors incl. Keenan TF] (2022) The science needed for robust, scalable, and credible nature-based climate solutions for the United States. US Carbon Cycle Science Program workshop report here.

[119]
Zhou S, Williams AP, Lintner BR, Findell KL, Keenan TF, Zhang Y, Gentine P (2022) Diminishing seasonality of subtropical water availability in a warmer world dominated by soil moisture-atmosphere feedbacks. Nature Communications, 13, 5756 here.

[118]
Zhang Y, Gentine P, Luo X, Lian X, Liu Y, Zhou S, Michalak AM, Sun W, Fisher JB, Piao S, Keenan TF (2022) Increasing sensitivity of dryland vegetation greenness to precipitation due to rising atmospheric CO2. Nature Communications, 13, 4875 here.

[117]
Chang K-Y, Riley WJ, Keenan TF (2022) Hourly water-carbon interactions modulate decadal water-use efficiency trends inferred from ecosystem-scale measurements. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 326, 109158 here.

[116]
Green J, Keenan TF (2022) The limits of forest carbon sequestration. Science, 6594, 692-693 here.

[116]
Liu Y, Riley WJ, Keenan TF, Mekonnen Z, Holm JA, Zhu Q, Torn MS (2022) Dispersal and fire limit Arctic shrub expansion. Nature Communications, 13, 3843 here

[115]
Zhou S, Keenan TF, Williams AP, Lintner B, Zhang Y, Gentine P (2022) Large divergence in tropical hydrological projections caused by model spread in vegetation responses to elevated CO2. Earth's Future, 10, e2021EF002457 here.

[114]
Chen J et al. [12 co-authors incl. Keenan TF] (2022) Global datasets of leaf photosynthetic capacity for ecological and Earth System research. Earth System Science Data, 14, 4077–4093 here.

[113]
Chen C, Riley WJ, Prentice IC, Keenan TF (2022) CO2 fertilization of terrestrial photosynthesis inferred from site to global scales. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 119, e2115627119 here.

[112]
Luo X, Keenan TF (2022) Tropical extreme droughts drive long-term increase in atmospheric CO2 growth rate variability. Nature Communications, 13, 1193 here.

[111]
Dong N, Wright I, Chen J, Luo X, Wang H, Keenan TF, Smith N, Prentice IC (2022) Rising CO2 and warming reduce global canopy demand for nitrogen. New Phytologist, 235, 1692-1700 here.

[110]
Lu X, Keenan TF (2022) No evidence for a negative relationship between growing season photosynthesis and leaf senescence. Global Change Biology, 28, 3083-3093 here.

[109]
Zhang M, Keenan TF, Luo X et al. [9 additional co-authors] (2022) Elevated CO2 moderates the impact of climate change on future bamboo distribution in Madagascar. Science of The Total Environment , 810, 152235 here.

[108]
Osman M, Zaitchik B, Badr H, Otkin J, Zhong Y, Lorenz D, Anderson M, Keenan TF, Miller DL, Hain C, Holmes T (2022) Diagnostic classification of flash drought events reveals distinct classes of forcings and impacts. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 23, 275–289 here.

2021

[108]
Migliavacca M et al. [66 co-authors incl. Keenan TF] (2021) The three major axes of terrestrial ecosystem function. Nature, 598, 468–472 here.

[107]
Chen C, Li D, Keenan TF (2021) Enhanced surface urban heat islands due to divergent urban-rural greening trends. Environmental Research Letters, 16 124071 here.

[106]
Zhang Y, Keenan TF, Zhou S (2021) Exacerbated drought impacts on global ecosystems due to structural overshoot. Nature Ecology and Evolution, 5, 1490–1498 here.

[105]
Luo X, Keenan TF, Chen J, Croft H, Prentice IC, Smith NG, Walker AP, Wang H, Wang R, Xu C, Zhang Y (2021) Global variation in the fraction of leaf nitrogen allocated to photosynthesis. Nature Communications, 12, 4866 here.

[104]
Harrison S et al. [20 co-authors incl. Keenan TF] (2021) Eco-evolutionary optimality as a means to improve vegetation and land-surface models. New Phytologist, 231, 2125-2141 here.

[103]
Eyring V, Mishra V, Griffith GP, Chen L, Keenan TF, Turetsky M, Brown S, Jotzo F, Moore F, van der Linden S (2021) *Reflections and projections on a decade in climate science. Nature Climate Change, 11, 279–285 here. *A viewpoint from 10 researchers on progress in climate change research.

[102]
*Fisher J, Keenan TF, Buechner C, Shirkey G, Perez-Quezada J, Knox S, Frank J, Runkle B, Bohrer G (2021) Once upon a time, in AmeriFlux. Journal of Geophysical Research, 126, e2020JG006148 here. *This is a fairytale

[101]
Sun W, Fang Y, Luo X, Shiga Y, Zhang Y, Andrews A, Thoning KW, Fisher JB, Keenan TF, Michalak A (2021) Midwest U.S. croplands determine model divergence in North American carbon fluxes. AGU Advances, 2, e2020AV000310 here.

[100]
Terrer C. et al. [19 co-authors incl. Keenan TF] (2021) A trade-off between plant and soil carbon storage under elevated CO2. Nature, 591, 599–603 here.

[99]
Chang K et al. [50 co-authors incl. Keenan TF] (2021) Substantial hysteresis in emergent temperature sensitivity of global wetland CH4 emissions. Nature Communications, 12, 2266 here.

[98]
Pihl E et al. [60 co-authors incl. Keenan TF] (2021) 10 New Insights in Climate Science 2020 - a Horizon Scan. Global Sustainability, 4, e5 here.

[97]
Zhou S, Williams SP, Lintner BR, Berg A, Zhang Y, Keenan TF, Cook B, Hagemann S, Seneviratne S, Gentine P (2021) Soil moisture-atmosphere feedbacks mitigate declining water availability in drylands. Nature Climate Change, 11, 38–44 here.

[96]
Lian X, Piao S, Chen A, Huntingford C, Fu B, Li L, Huang J, Sheffield J, Berg A, Keenan TF, McVicar T, Wada Y, Wang X, Wang T, Yang Y, Roderick M (2021) Multifaceted characteristics of dryland aridity changes in a warming world. Nature Reviews Earth and Environment, 2, 232–250 here.

[95]
Ely K, Rogers A, et al [90 authors, incl. Keenan TF] (2021) A reporting format for leaf-level gas exchange data and metadata. Ecological Informatics, 61, 101232 here.

[94]
Walker A, De Kauwe M, et al [60 authors, incl. Keenan TF] (2021) Integrating the evidence for a terrestrial carbon sink caused by increasing atmospheric CO2. New Phytologist, 5, 2413-2445 here.

2020

[93]
Luo X, Keenan TF (2020) Global evidence for the acclimation of ecosystem photosynthesis to light. Nature Ecology and Evolution 4, 1351–1357 here.

[92]
Smith N, Keenan TF (2020) Mechanisms underlying leaf photosynthetic acclimation to warming and elevated CO2 as inferred from least-cost optimality theory. Global Change Biology, 26, 4651-5343 here.

[91]
Keenan TF, Richardson AD, Hufkens K. (2020) On quantifying the apparent temperature sensitivity of plant phenology. New Phytologist, 225, 1033–1040 here.

[90]
Wang H, Atkin O, Keenan TF, et al. (2020) Acclimation of leaf respiration consistent with optimal photosynthetic capacity. Global Change Biology, 26, 2573-2583 here.

[89]
Jiang C, Ryu Y, Wang H, Keenan TF (2020) An optimality model explains seasonal variation in C3 plant photosynthetic capacity. Global Change Biology, 26, 6493-6510 here.

[88]
Tramontana G, Migliavacca M, Jung M, Reichstein M, Keenan TF, Camps Valls G, Ogee J, Verrelst J, Papale D (2020) Partitioning net carbon dioxide fluxes into photosynthesis and respiration using neural networks. Global Change Biology, 26, 5235-5253 here.

[87]
Wu G, Hu Z, Keenan TF, Li S, Li Y, Zhao W, Guo Q, Sun X, Cao R (2020) Incorporating spatial variations in parameters for improvements of an evapotranspiration model. Journal of Geophysical Research - Biogeosciences, 125, e2019JG005504 here.

[86]
Wu G, Cai X, Keenan TF, Li S, Luo X, Fisher J, Cao R, Li F, Purdy AJ, Zhao W, Sun X, Hu Z (2020) Evaluating three evapotranspiration estimates from model of different complexity over China using the ILAMB benchmarking system. Journal of Hydrology, 590, 125553 here.

[85]
Byrne B, Liu J, Bloom A, Bowman K, Butterfield Z, Joiner J, Keenan TF, Keppel-Aleks G, Parazoo N, Yin Y (2020) Outsized contribution of the semi-arid ecosystems to interannual variability in North American ecosystems. Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 34, e2020GB006598 here.

[84]
Finzi A, Giasson MA, Barker Plotkin A, et al. [25 authors, incl. Keenan TF] (2020) Carbon budget of the Harvard Forest long-term ecological research site: Pattern, process, and response to global change. Ecological Monographs, 90, e01423 here.

[83]
Stocker B, Wang H, Smith N, Harrison S, Keenan TF, Sandoval D, Davis T, Prentice IC. (2020) P-model v1.0: An optimality-based light use efficiency model for simulating ecosystem gross primary production. Geoscientific Model Development, 13, 1545–1581 here.

2019

[82]
Terrer C, Jackson R, Prentice IC, Keenan TF, et al. [28 additional authors] (2019) Nitrogen and phosphorus constrain the CO2 fertilization of global plant biomass. Nature Climate Change, 9, 684–689

[81]
Huang M, Piao S, Ciais P, Peñuelas J, Wang X, Keenan TF, et el. [20 additional authors] (2019) Air temperature optima of vegetation productivity across global biomes. Nature Ecology and Evolution, 3, 772–779

[80]
Stocker B, Zscheischler J, Keenan TF, Prentice IC, Seneviratne S, Penuelas J. (2019) Drought impacts on terrestrial primary production underestimated by satellite monitoring. Nature Geoscience, 12, 264–270

[79]
Keenan TF Migliavacca M, Papale D, Baldocchi D, Reichstein M, Torn M, Wutzler T (2019) Widespread inhibition of daytime ecosystem respiration. Nature Ecology and Evolution, 3, 407–415

[78]
Smith NG, Keenan TF, Prentice IC, Wang H, Wright IJ, Niinemets Ü et al. (2019) Global photosynthetic capacity is optimized to the environment. Ecology Letters, 22, 506–517

[77]
Luo X , Croft H, Chen JM, He L, Keenan TF. (2019) Improved estimates of global terrestrial photosynthesis using information on leaf chlorophyll content. Global Change Biology, 25, 2499–2514

[76]
Liu Y, Piao S, Grasser T, Ciais P, Yang H, Wang H, Keenan TF, et al. [27 additional authors] (2019) Field-experiment constraints on the enhancement of the terrestrial carbon sink by CO2 fertilisation. Nature Geoscience 12, 809–814

[75]
Knox S et al. [65 additional authors] (2019) FLUXNET-CH4 Synthesis Activity: Objectives, Observations, and Future Directions. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 100, 2607–2632

[74]
Lavergne A, Graven H, De Kauwe M, Keenan TF, Medlyn B, Prentice IC (2019) Observed and modelled historical trends in the water use efficiency of plants and ecosystems. Global Change Biology 25, 2242–2257

[73]
Zhu P, Zhuang Q, Welp L, Ciais P, Heimann M, Peng B, Li W, Bernacchi C, Roedenbeck C, Keenan TF (2019) Recent warming has resulted in smaller gains in net carbon uptake in northern high latitudes. Journal of Climate 9, 5849-5863

[72]
Chavana-Bryant C, Malhi Y, Anastasiou A, Enquist BJ, Cosio EG, Keenan TF, Gerard F. (2019) Leaf age effects on the spectral predictability of leaf traits in Amazonian canopy trees. Science of The Total Environment, 666: 1301–1315.

2018

[71]
Keenan TF, Williams CA. (2018) The Terrestrial Carbon Sink. Annual Review of Environment and Resources, 43: 219–243.

[70]
Keenan TF, Riley WJ. (2018) Greening of the land surface in the world’s cold regions consistent with recent warming. Nature Climate Change, 8: 825–829.

[69]
Luo X, Keenan TF, Fisher JB, Jiménez-Muñoz J-C, Chen JM, Jiang C, Ju W, Perakalapudi N-V, Ryu Y, Tadić JM. (2018) The impact of the 2015/2016 El Niño on global photosynthesis using satellite remote sensing. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 373: 20170409.

[68]
Lee MS, Hollinger DY, Keenan TF, Ouimette AP, Ollinger SV, Richardson AD. (2018) Model-based analysis of the impact of diffuse radiation on CO2 exchange in a temperate deciduous forest. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 249: 377–389.

[67]
Ducker JA, Holmes CD, Keenan TF, Fares S, Goldstein AH, Mammarella I, Munger JW, Schnell J. (2018) Synthetic ozone deposition and stomatal uptake at flux tower sites. Biogeosciences, 15: 5395–5413.

[66]
Huang M, Wang X, Keenan TF, Piao S. (2018) Drought timing influences the legacy of tree growth recovery. Global Change Biology, 24: 3546–3559.

[65]
Stocker BD, Zscheischler J, Keenan TF, Prentice IC, Peñuelas J, Seneviratne SI. (2018) Quantifying soil moisture impacts on light use efficiency across biomes. New Phytologist, 218: 1430–1449.

[64]
Ouimette AP, Ollinger S V., Richardson AD, Hollinger DY, Keenan TF, Lepine LC, Vadeboncoeur MA. (2018) Carbon fluxes and interannual drivers in a temperate forest ecosystem assessed through comparison of top-down and bottom-up approaches. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 256–257: 420–430.

[63]
Sihi D, Davidson EA, Chen M, Savage KE, Richardson AD, Keenan TF, Hollinger DY. (2018) Merging a mechanistic enzymatic model of soil heterotrophic respiration into an ecosystem model in two AmeriFlux sites of northeastern USA. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 252: 155–166.

[62]
Richardson AD, Hufkens K, Milliman T, Aubrecht DM, Chen M, Gray JM, Johnston MR, Keenan TF, Klosterman ST, Kosmala M, Melaas EK, Friedl MA, Frolking S. (2018) Tracking vegetation phenology across diverse North American biomes using PhenoCam imagery. Scientific Data, 5: 1–24.

[61]
Collalti A, Trotta C, Keenan TF, Ibrom A, Bond-Lamberty B, Grote R, Vicca S, Reyer CPO, Migliavacca M, Veroustraete F, Anav A, Campioli M, Scoccimarro E, Sigut L, Grieco E, Cescatti A, Matteucci G. (2018) Thinning Can Reduce Losses in Carbon Use Efficiency and Carbon Stocks in Managed Forests Under Warmer Climate. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 10: 2427–2452.

2017

[60]
Wang H, Prentice IC, Keenan TF, Davis TW, Wright IJ, Cornwell WK, Evans BJ, Peng C. (2017) Towards a universal model for carbon dioxide uptake by plants. Nature Plants, 3: 734–741.

[59]
Albert LP, Keenan TF, Burns SP, Huxman TE, Monson RK. (2017) Climate controls over ecosystem metabolism: insights from a fifteen-year inductive artificial neural network synthesis for a subalpine forest. Oecologia, 184: 1–17.

[58]
Meredith LK, Commane R, Keenan TF, Klosterman ST, Munger JW, Templer PH, Tang J, Wofsy SC, Prinn RG. (2017) Ecosystem fluxes of hydrogen in a mid-latitude forest driven by soil microorganisms and plants. Global Change Biology, 23: 906–919.

[57]
Niu S, Fu Z, Luo Y, Stoy PC, Keenan TF, Poulter B, Zhang L, Piao S, Zhou X, Zheng H, Han J, Wang Q, Yu G. (2017) Interannual variability of ecosystem carbon exchange: From observation to prediction. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 26: 1225–1237.

[56]
Wang H, Prentice IC, Davis TW, Keenan TF, Wright IJ, Peng C. (2017) Photosynthetic responses to altitude: an explanation based on optimality principles. New Phytologist, 213: 976–982.

[55]
Walker AP, Quaife T, van Bodegom PM, De Kauwe MG, Keenan TF, Joiner J, Lomas MR, MacBean N, Xu C, Yang X, Woodward FI. (2017) The impact of alternative trait-scaling hypotheses for the maximum photosynthetic carboxylation rate (Vcmax) on global gross primary production. New Phytologist, 215: 1370–1386.

[54]
Mastrotheodoros T, Pappas C, Molnar P, Burlando P, Keenan TF, Gentine P, Gough CM, Fatichi S. (2017) Linking plant functional trait plasticity and the large increase in forest water use efficiency. Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences, 122: 2393–2408.

[53]
Nadal-Sala D, Keenan TF, Sabaté S, Gracia C. (2017) Forest Eco-Physiological Models: Water Use and Carbon Sequestration. In: Managing Forest Ecosystems: The Challenge of Climate Change. 2017 doi:10.1007/978-3-319-28250-3

2016

[52]
Keenan TF, Prentice IC, Canadell JG, Williams CA, Wang H, Raupach M, Collatz GJ. (2016) Recent pause in the growth rate of atmospheric CO2 due to enhanced terrestrial carbon uptake. Nature Communications, 7: 13428.

[51]
Keenan TF, Niinemets Ü. (2016) Global leaf trait estimates biased due to plasticity in the shade. Nature Plants, 3: 16201.

[50]
Wolf S, Keenan TF, Fisher JB, Baldocchi DD, Desai AR, Richardson AD, Scott RL, Law BE, Litvak ME, Brunsell NA, Peters W, van der Laan-Luijkx IT. (2016) Warm spring reduced carbon cycle impact of the 2012 US summer drought. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 113: 5880–5885.

[49]
Ukkola AM, Prentice IC, Keenan TF, van Dijk AIJM, Viney NR, Myneni RB, Bi J. (2016) Reduced streamflow in water-stressed climates consistent with CO2 effects on vegetation. Nature Climate Change, 6: 75–78.

[48]
Ukkola AM, Keenan TF, Kelley DI, Prentice IC. (2016) Vegetation plays an important role in mediating future water resources. Environmental Research Letters, 11: 094022.

[47]
De Kauwe MG, Keenan TF, Medlyn BE, Prentice IC, Terrer C. (2016) Satellite based estimates underestimate the effect of CO2 fertilization on net primary productivity. Nature Climate Change, 6: 892–893.

[46]
Baldocchi D, Ryu Y, Keenan TF. (2016) Terrestrial Carbon Cycle Variability. F1000Research, 5: 2371.

[45]
Yue X, Keenan TF, Munger W, Unger N. (2016) Limited effect of ozone reductions on the 20-year photosynthesis trend at Harvard forest. Global Change Biology, 22: 3750–3759.

[44]
Zscheischler J, Fatichi S, Wolf S, Blanken PD, Bohrer G, Clark K, Desai AR, Hollinger D, Keenan TF, Novick KA, Seneviratne SI. (2016) Short-term favorable weather conditions are an important control of interannual variability in carbon and water fluxes. Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences, 121: 2186–2198.

[43]
Van Gorsel E, Wolf S, Cleverly J, Isaac P, Haverd V, Ewenz C, Arndt S, Beringer J, Resco de Dios V, Evans BJ et al. (2016) Carbon uptake and water use in woodlands and forests in southern Australia during an extreme heat wave event in the ‘angry Summer’ of 2012/2013. Biogeosciences, 13: 5947–5964.

[42]
Hufkens K, Keenan TF, Flanagan LB, Scott RL, Bernacchi CJ, Joo E, Brunsell NA, Verfaillie J, Richardson AD. (2016) Productivity of North American grasslands is increased under future climate scenarios despite rising aridity. Nature Climate Change, 6: 710–714.

[41]
Moore CE, Brown T, Keenan TF, Duursma RA, van Dijk AIJM, Beringer J, Culvenor D, Evans B, Huete A, Hutley LB et al. (2016) Reviews and syntheses: Australian vegetation phenology: new insights from satellite remote sensing and digital repeat photography. Biogeosciences, 13: 5085–5102.

2015

[40]
Luo Y, Keenan TF, Smith M. (2015) Predictability of the terrestrial carbon cycle. Global Change Biology, 21: 1737-1751.

[39]
Niinemets Ü, Keenan TF, Hallik L. (2015) A worldwide analysis of within-canopy variations in leaf structural, chemical and physiological traits across plant functional types. New Phytologist, 205: 973–993.

[38]
Doblas-Miranda E, Martínez-Vilalta J, Lloret F, Álvarez A, Ávila A, Bonet FJJ, Brotons L, Castro J, Curiel Yuste J, Díaz M et al. (2015) Reassessing global change research priorities in mediterranean terrestrial ecosystems: how far have we come and where do we go from here? Global Ecology and Biogeography, 24: 25–43.

[37]
Keenan TF, Richardson AD. (2015) The timing of autumn senescence is affected by the timing of spring phenology: Implications for predictive models. Global Change Biology, 21: 2634–2641.

[36]
Yue X, Unger N, Keenan TF, Zhang X, Vogel CSS. (2015) Probing the past 30-year phenology trend of US deciduous forests. Biogeosciences, 12: 4693–4709.

[35]
Parazoo NC, Barnes E, Worden J, Harper AB, Bowman KB, Frankenberg C, Wolf S, Litvak M, Keenan TF. (2015) Influence of ENSO and the NAO on terrestrial carbon uptake in the Texas-northern Mexico region. Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 29: 1247–1265.

2014

[34]
Grote R, Morfopoulos C, Niinemets Ü, Sun Z, Keenan TF, Pacifico F, Butler T. (2014) A fully integrated isoprenoid emissions model coupling emissions to photosynthetic characteristics. Plant, Cell and Environment, 37: 1965–1980.

[33]
Keenan TF, Gray J, Friedl MA, Toomey MP, Bohrer G, Hollinger DY, Munger JW, O’Keefe J, Schmid HP, Wing IS et al. (2014) Net carbon uptake has increased through warming-induced changes in temperate forest phenology. Nature Climate Change, 4: 598–604.

[32]
Besson CK, Lobo-do-Vale R, Rodrigues ML, Almeida P, Herd A, Grant OM, David TS, Schmidt M, Otieno D, Keenan TF, Gouveia C, Mériaux C, Chaves MM, Pereira JS. (2014) Cork oak physiological responses to manipulated water availability in a Mediterranean woodland. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 184: 230–242.

[31]
Keenan TF, Hollinger DY, Bohrer G, Dragoni D, Munger JW, Schmid HP, Richardson AD. (2014) reply to Ozone and Water Use Efficiency. Nature, 507: 2013–2015.

[30]
Keenan TF, *Darby B, *Felts E, Sonnentag O, Friedl MA, Hufkens K, O’Keefe J, Klosterman S, Munger JW, Toomey M, Richardson AD. (2014) Tracking forest phenology and seasonal physiology using digital repeat photography: A critical assessment. Ecological Applications, 24: 1478–1489.

[29]
Niinemets Ü, Keenan TF. (2014) Photosynthetic responses to stress in Mediterranean evergreens: Mechanisms and models. Environmental and Experimental Botany, 103: 24–41.

[28]
Niu S, Luo Y, Dietze MC, Keenan TF, Shi Z, Li J, III FSC. (2014) The role of data assimilation in predictive ecology. Ecosphere, 5: art65.

[27]
Shoemaker JK, Keenan TF, Hollinger DY, Richardson AD. (2014) Forest ecosystem changes from annual methane source to sink depending on late summer water balance. Geophysical Research Letters, 41: 673–679.

[26]
Friedl MA, Gray JM, Melaas EK, Richardson AD, Hufkens K, Keenan TF et al. (2014) A tale of two springs: using recent climate anomalies to characterize the sensitivity of temperate forest phenology to climate change. Environmental Research Letters, 9: 054006.

2013

[25]
Morfopoulos C, Prentice IC, Keenan TF, Friedlingstein P, Medlyn BE, Peñuelas J, Possell M. (2013) A unifying conceptual model for the environmental responses of isoprene emissions from plants. Annals of Botany, 112: 1223–1238.

[24]
Raczka BM, Davis KJ, Huntzinger D, Neilson RP, Poulter B, Richardson AD, Xiao J, Baker I, Ciais P, Keenan TF et al. (2013) Evaluation of continental carbon cycle simulations with North American flux tower observations. Ecological Monographs, 83: 531–556.

[23]
Richardson AD, Keenan TF, Migliavacca M, Ryu Y, Sonnentag O, Toomey M. (2013) Climate change, phenology, and phenological control of vegetation feedbacks to the climate system. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 169: 156–173.

[22]
Richardson AD, Carbone MS, Keenan TF, Czimczik CI, Hollinger DY, Murakami P, Schaberg PG, Xu X. (2013) Seasonal dynamics and age of stemwood nonstructural carbohydrates in temperate forest trees. New Phytologist, 197: 850–861.

[21]
Vargas R, Sonnentag O, Abramowitz G, Carrara A, Chen JM, Ciais P, Correia A, Keenan TF, Kobayashi H, Ourcival JM et al. (2013) Drought Influences the Accuracy of Simulated Ecosystem Fluxes: A Model-Data Meta-analysis for Mediterranean Oak Woodlands. Ecosystems, 16: 749–764.

[20]
Carbone MS, Czimczik CI, Keenan TF, Murakami PF, Pederson N, Schaberg PG, Xu X, Richardson AD. (2013) Age, allocation and availability of nonstructural carbon in mature red maple trees. New Phytologist, 200: 1145–1155.

[19]
Keenan TF, Davidson EA, Munger JW, Richardson AD. (2013) Rate my data: Quantifying the value of ecological data for the development of models of the terrestrial carbon cycle. Ecological Applications, 23: 273–286.

[18]
Keenan TF, Hollinger DY, Bohrer G, Dragoni D, Munger JW, Schmid HP, Richardson AD. (2013) Increase in forest water-use efficiency as atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations rise. Nature, 499: 324–327.

[17]
Serra-Diaz JM, Keenan TF, Ninyerola M, Sabaté S, Gracia C, Lloret F. (2013) Geographical patterns of congruence and incongruence between correlative species distribution models and a process-based ecophysiological growth model. Journal of Biogeography, 40: 1928–1938.

2012

[16]
Keenan TF, Davidson E, Moffat AM, Munger W, Richardson AD. (2012) Using model-data fusion to interpret past trends, and quantify uncertainties in future projections, of terrestrial ecosystem carbon cycling. Global Change Biology, 18: 2555–2569.

[15]
Keenan TF, Niinemets Ü. (2014) Circadian control of global isoprene emissions. Nature Geosciences, 5: 435.

[14]
Keenan TF, Baker I, Barr A, Ciais P, Davis K, Dietze M, Dragoni D, Gough CM, Grant R, Hollinger D et al. (2012) Terrestrial biosphere model performance for inter-annual variability of land-atmosphere CO2 exchange. Global Change Biology, 18: 1971–1987.

[13]
Niinemets Ü, Keenan TF. (2012) Measures of Light in Studies on Light-Driven Plant Plasticity in Artificial Environments. Frontiers in Plant Science, 3: 156.

[12]
Migliavacca M, Sonnentag O, Keenan TF, Cescatti A, O’Keefe J, Richardson AD. (2012) On the uncertainty of phenological responses to climate change, and implications for a terrestrial biosphere model. Biogeosciences, 9. doi:10.5194/bg-9-2063-2012

[11]
Hufkens K, Richardson AD, Friedl M, Keenan TF, Sonnentag O, Bailey A, O’Keefe J. (2012) Ecological Impacts of a widespread frost event following early spring leaf-out. Global Change Biology, 18: 2365–2377.

2011

[10]
Keenan TF, Maria Serra J, Lloret F, Ninyerola M, Sabate S. (2011) Predicting the future of forests in the Mediterranean under climate change, with niche- and process-based models: CO2 matters! Global Change Biology, 17: 565–579.

[9]
Keenan TF, Grote R, Sabaté S. (2011) Overlooking the canopy: The importance of canopy structure in scaling isoprenoid emissions from the leaf to the landscape. Ecological Modelling, 222: 737–747.

[8]
Keenan TF, Carbone MS, Reichstein M, Richardson AD. (2011) The model–data fusion pitfall: assuming certainty in an uncertain world. Oecologia, 167: 587–597.

2010

[7]
Keenan TF, Sabate S, Gracia C. (2010) The importance of mesophyll conductance in regulating forest ecosystem productivity during drought periods. Global Change Biology, 16: 1019–1034.

[6]
Grote R, Keenan TF, Lavoir A-V V, Staudt M. (2010) Process-based simulation of seasonality and drought stress in monoterpene emission models. Biogeosciences Discussions, 6: 8961–9004.

[5]
Keenan TF, Sabate S, Gracia C. (2010) Soil water stress and coupled photosynthesis-conductance models: Bridging the gap between conflicting reports on the relative roles of stomatal, mesophyll conductance and biochemical limitations to photosynthesis. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 150: 443–453.

2009

[4]
Keenan TF, Niinemets Ü, Sabate S, Gracia C, Peñuelas J. (2009) Process based inventory of isoprenoid emissions from European forests: model comparisons, current knowledge and uncertainties. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 9: 4053–4076.

[3]
Keenan TF, Niinemets Ü, Sabate S, Gracia C, Peñuelas J. (2009) Seasonality of monoterpene emission potentials in Quercus ilex and Pinus pinea: Implications for regional VOC emissions modeling. Journal of Geophysical Research, 114: D22202.

[2]
López BC, Gracia CA, Sabaté S,Keenan TF. (2009) Assessing the resilience of Mediterranean holm oaks to disturbances using selective thinning. Acta Oecologica 2009; 35: 849–854.

[1]
Keenan TF, García R, Friend AD, Zaehle S, Gracia C, Sabate S. (2009) Improved understanding of drought controls on seasonal variation in Mediterranean forest canopy CO2 and water fluxes through combined in situ measurements and ecosystem modelling. Biogeosciences, 6: 1423–1444.

[0] Keenan TF, PhD Thesis: Carbon and Water Fluxes from the European Terrestrial Biosphere. May 2009 here

PUBLICATIONS (not peer reviewed)



[5]
Keenan TF, Luo X, Zhang Y, Zhou S (2020) Ecosystem aridity and atmospheric CO2. Science, 368, 251-252 here.

[4]
Fisher J, Keenan TF, Buechner C, Shirkey G, Perez-Quezada J, Knox S, Frank J, Runkle B, Bohrer G (2021) Once upon a time, in AmeriFlux. Journal of Geophysical Research (in press) here.

[3]
Keenan TF, Moore DJP, Desai A. (2019) Growth and opportunities in networked synthesis through AmeriFlux. New Phytologist, 222, 1685–1687

[2]
Pastorello G, Gunter D, Chu H, Christianson D, Trotta C, Canfora E, Faybishenko B, Cheah Y-W, Beekwilder N, Chan S et al. (2017) Hunting Data Rogues at Scale: Data Quality Control for Observational Data in Research Infrastructures. 2017 IEEE 13th International Conference on e-Science (e-Science),: 446–447.

[1]
Keenan TF. (2015) Phenology: Spring greening in a warming world. Nature, 526: 48–49.



- Top of page -
SUMMARY